Wind power forecasting: IEA Wind Task 36 & future research issues

Gregor Giebel, J. Cline, Helmut Paul Frank, W. Shaw, Pierre Pinson, B-M Hodge, G. Kariniotakis, J. Madsen, C. Möhrlen

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Abstract

This paper presents the new International Energy Agency Wind Task 36 on Forecasting, and invites to collaborate within the group. Wind power forecasts have been used operatively for over 20 years. Despite this fact, there are still several possibilities to improve the forecasts, both from the weather prediction side and from the usage of the forecasts. The new International Energy Agency (IEA) Task on Forecasting for Wind Energy tries to organise international collaboration, among national meteorological centres with an interest and/or large projects on wind forecast improvements (NOAA, DWD, MetOffice, met.no, DMI,...), operational forecaster and forecast users.The Task is divided in three work packages: Firstly, a collaboration on the improvement of the scientific basis for the wind predictions themselves. This includes numerical weather prediction model physics, but also widely distributed information on accessible datasets. Secondly, we will be aiming at an international pre-standard (an IEA Recommended Practice) on benchmarking and comparing wind power forecasts, including probabilistic forecasts. This WP will also organise benchmarks, in cooperation with the IEA Task WakeBench. Thirdly, we will be engaging end users aiming at dissemination of the best practice in the usage of wind power predictions. As first results, an overview of current issues for research in short-term forecasting of wind power is presented.
Original languageEnglish
Article number032042
Book seriesJournal of Physics: Conference Series (Online)
Volume753
Issue number3
Number of pages10
ISSN1742-6596
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2016
EventThe Science of Making Torque from Wind 2016 - Technische Universität München (TUM), Munich, Germany
Duration: 5 Oct 20167 Oct 2016
Conference number: 6
https://www.events.tum.de/?sub=29

Conference

ConferenceThe Science of Making Torque from Wind 2016
Number6
LocationTechnische Universität München (TUM)
CountryGermany
CityMunich
Period05/10/201607/10/2016
Internet address

Bibliographical note

Content from this work may be used under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 licence. Any further distribution of this work must maintain attribution to the author(s) and the title of the work, journal citation and DOI.

Keywords

  • Wind energy
  • Weather analysis and prediction
  • Wind power plants
  • Power system planning and layout
  • load forecasting
  • weather forecasting
  • wind power
  • wind power forecasting
  • IEA Wind Task 36
  • International Energy Agency Wind Task 36
  • wind energy
  • international collaboration
  • national meteorological centres
  • wind forecast improvements
  • operational forecaster
  • forecast users
  • wind predictions
  • numerical weather prediction model physics
  • accessible datasets
  • international pre-standard
  • IEA recommended practice
  • IEA Task WakeBench
  • short-term forecasting

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