Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions: An International Comparison

Bri-Mathias Hodge, Debra Lew, Michael Milligan, Emilio Gómez-Lázaro, Xiaoli Guo Larsén, Gregor Giebel, Hannele Holttinen, Samuli Sillanpää, Richard Scharff, Lennart Söder, Damian Flynn

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingArticle in proceedingsResearchpeer-review

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Abstract

Wind power forecasting is essential for greater penetration of wind power into electricity systems. Because no wind forecasting system is perfect, a thorough understanding of the errors that may occur is a critical factor for system operation functions, such as the setting of operating reserve levels. This paper provides an international comparison of the distribution of wind power forecasting errors from operational systems, based on real forecast data. The paper concludes with an assessment of similarities and differences between the errors observed in different locations.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of 11th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems
Number of pages9
Publication date2012
Publication statusPublished - 2012
Event11th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants - Lisbon, Portugal
Duration: 13 Nov 201215 Nov 2012

Conference

Conference11th International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants
Country/TerritoryPortugal
CityLisbon
Period13/11/201215/11/2012
SeriesNREL-CP
Number5500-56130

Bibliographical note

Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308

Keywords

  • Wind power forecasting
  • Power system operation
  • Power system reliability
  • Power systems
  • Wind Power Generation

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