Uncertainty in greenhouse-gas emission scenario projections: Experiences from Mexico and South Africa

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    Abstract

    This report outlines approaches to quantify the uncertainty associated with national greenhouse-gas emission scenario projections. It does so by describing practical applications of those approaches in two countries – Mexico and South Africa. The goal of the report is to promote uncertainty quantification, because quantifying uncertainty has the potential to foster more robust climate-change mitigation plans. To this end the report also summarises the rationale for quantifying uncertainty in greenhouse-gas emission scenario projections.
    Original languageEnglish
    Place of PublicationCopenhagen
    PublisherUNEP DTU Partnership
    Number of pages32
    ISBN (Print)978-87-93130-73-9
    Publication statusPublished - 2015

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