The Baltic Health Index (BHI): assessing the socialecological status of the Baltic Sea

Thorsten Blenckner*, Christian Möllman, Julia Stewart Lowndes, Jennifer Griffiths, Eleanore Campbell, Andrea deCervo, Andrea Belgrano, Christoffer Boström, Vivi Fleming, Melanie Frazier, Stefan Neuenfeldt, Susa Niiranen, Annika Nilsson, Henn Ojaveer, Jens Olsson, Christine Palmlöv, Martin Quaas, Wilfried Hickels, Anna Sobek, Markku ViitasaloSofia Wikström, Benjamin S. Halpern

*Corresponding author for this work

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Abstract

1. Improving the health of coastal and open sea marine ecosystems represents a substantial challenge for sustainable marine resource management, since it requires balancing human benefits and impacts on the ocean. This challenge is often exacerbated by incomplete knowledge and lack of tools that measure ocean and coastal ecosystem health in a way that allows consistent monitoring of progress towards predefined management targets. The lack of such tools often limits capabilities to enact and enforce effective governance.
2. We introduce the Baltic Health Index (BHI) as a transparent, collaborative, and repeatable assessment tool. The Index complements existing, more ecological-oriented, approaches by including a human dimension on the status of the Baltic Sea, an ecosystem impacted by multiple anthropogenic pressures and governed by a multitude of comprehensive national and international policies. Using a large amount of social-ecological data available, we assessed the health of the Baltic Sea for nine goals that represent the status towards set targets, e.g. clean waters, biodiversity, food provision, natural products extraction, and tourism.
3. Our results indicate that the overall health of the Baltic Sea is suboptimal (a score of 76 out of 100), and a substantial effort is required to reach the management objectives and associated targets. Subregionally, the lowest BHI scores were measured for carbon storage, contaminants and lasting special places (i.e., marine protected areas), albeit with large spatial variation.
4. Overall, the likely future status of all goals in the BHI averaged for the entire Baltic Sea is better than the present status, indicating a positive trend towards a healthier Baltic Sea. However, in some Baltic Sea basins, the trend for specific goals was decreasing, highlighting locations and issues that should be the focus of management priorities.
5. The BHI outcomes can be used to identify both pan-Baltic and subregional scale management priorities and to illustrate the interconnectedness between goals linked by cumulative pressures. Hence, the information provided by the BHI tool and its further development will contribute towards the fulfilment of the UN Agenda 2030 and its the Sustainable Development Goals.
Original languageEnglish
JournalPeople and Nature
Volume3
Issue number2
Pages (from-to)359-375
Number of pages17
ISSN2575-8314
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021

Keywords

  • Social-ecological system
  • Ecosystem-based management
  • Sustainability
  • Health
  • Management targets

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