Support Mechanisms for Renewables: How Risk Exposure Influences Investment Incentives

Lena Kitzing, Christoph Weber

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    Abstract

    We analyse quantitatively how risk exposure from different support mechanisms, such as feed-in tariffs and premiums, can influence the investment incentives for private investors. We develop a net cash flow approach that takes systematic and unsystematic risks into account through cost of capital and the Capital Asset Pricing Model as well as through active liquidity management. Applying the model to a specific case, a German offshore wind park, we find that the support levels required to give adequate investment incentives are for a feed-in tariff scheme approximately 4-10% lower than for a feed-in premium scheme. The effect of differences in risk exposure from the support schemes is significant and cannot be neglected in policy making, especially when deciding between support instruments or when determining adequate support levels.
    Original languageEnglish
    JournalInternational Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management
    Volume7
    Pages (from-to)117-134
    ISSN2246-2929
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2015

    Keywords

    • Investment risk
    • Unsystematic risk
    • Liquidity management
    • Offshore wind
    • Feed-in tariffs

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