Substitution between cars within the household

Bruno De Borger, Ismir Mulalic, Jan Rouwendal

    Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

    Abstract

    In this paper we study the demand for car kilometres in two-car households, focusing on the substitution between cars of different fuel efficiency in response to fuel price changes. We use a large sample of detailed Danish data on two-car households to estimate – for each car owned by the household – own and cross-price effects of increases in fuel costs per kilometre. The empirical results show that failure to capture substitution between cars within the household can result in substantial misspecification biases. Ignoring substitution, the basic model yielded fuel price elasticities of 0.98 and 1.41 for the primary and secondary cars, respectively. Accounting for substitution effects, these figures reduce to, respectively, 0.32 and 0.45. Consistent with substitution behaviour, we find that the fuel price elasticity of fuel demand exceeds the elasticity of kilometre demands with respect to the fuel price; the difference strongly increases at the highest deciles of the distribution of kilometre demand. Extending the model to account for driver heterogeneity and the role of car characteristics confirmed the relevance of substitution between cars within the household. We found strong evidence of substitution from the secondary to the primary car, especially if the latter is a more recent car with more horsepower. In general, the results of this paper emphasise the importance of behavioural differences related to the position of the most fuel efficient car in the household, suggesting that households’ fuel efficiency choices are related to their price sensitivity.
    Original languageEnglish
    JournalTransportation Research. Part A: Policy & Practice
    Volume85
    Pages (from-to)135–156
    ISSN0965-8564
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2016

    Keywords

    • Fuel efficiency
    • Car use
    • Multiple car ownership
    • Substitution effects
    • Fuel consumption

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