Statistical Analysis of Offshore Wind and other VRE Generation to Estimate the Variability in Future Residual Load

Matti Juhani Koivisto*, Petr Maule, Edgar Nuño, Poul Ejnar Sørensen, Nicolaos Antonio Cutululis

*Corresponding author for this work

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The growing share of variable renewable energy (VRE) sources, which are driven by weather patterns, can cause challenges to the operation and planning of power systems. This paper studies the variability in wind and solar photovoltaic generation in Nordic and Baltic countries. Combined with load time series, the resulting residual load is analysed in 2030 and 2050 scenarios. The correlations between load and VRE generation are studied, and it is shown that a modified 2050 scenario with higher offshore wind and solar generation share shows lower relative residual load variability compared to the 2050 base scenario. The reduction in variability is specifically significant in residual load ramp rates.
Original languageEnglish
Article number012011
Book seriesJournal of Physics: Conference Series
Issue number1
Number of pages11
Publication statusPublished - 2018
Event15th Deep Sea Offshore Wind R&D Conference - Trondheim, Norway
Duration: 17 Jan 201819 Jan 2018
Conference number: 15


Conference15th Deep Sea Offshore Wind R&D Conference

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