Forecasts of regularity for railway systems have traditionally – if at all – been computed for trains, not for passengers. It has only relatively recently become possible to model and evaluate the actual passenger delays. This paper describes how it is possible to use a passenger regularity model to estimate the actual passenger delays. The combination of the passenger regularity model with railway simulation software is described, demonstrating the possibility of predicting future passenger delays. The described passenger regularity model is run daily to calculate the passenger delays of the Copenhagen suburban rail network the previous day. The results obtained with the passenger regularity model used together with the simulation software are very similar to the daily calculated passenger regularity of the Copenhagen suburban network. As the combined method includes simulation software and reflects the actual passenger regularity, it is possible to use a combination of a passenger regularity model and simulation software to evaluate and compare future scenarios.
|Title of host publication||Computers in Railways X : Tenth International Conference on Computer System Design and Operation in the Railway and Other Transit Systems|
|Publication status||Published - 2006|
|Event||10th International Conference on Computer System Design and Operation in the Railway and other Transit Systems - Prague, Czech Republic|
Duration: 10 Jul 2006 → 12 Jul 2006
Conference number: 10
|Conference||10th International Conference on Computer System Design and Operation in the Railway and other Transit Systems|
|Period||10/07/2006 → 12/07/2006|