To quantify the risks involved in Ro-ro passenger vessel traffic,
rational criteria for prediction and evaluation of collision
accidents have to be developed. This implies that probabilities as
well as the inherent consequences have to be analyzed and
assessed.The present report outlines a method for evaluation of
the probability of a Ro-Ro passenger vessel on a given route being
struck by another ship. Given a collision has taken place the
spatial distribution of the collision damages is calculated.
Results are presented in terms of probability distributions, for
indentation depth, length and height of the holes and for the
vertical location. The main benefit of the formulated procedure is
that it allows comparisons of various navigation routes by
assessing the relative frequencies of collisions. The derived
procedure is applied to two typical Ro-Ro passenger vessel routes.
|Number of pages||89|
|Publication status||Published - 1997|