Predicting the structure-altering mechanisms of disease variants

Missense variants can affect the severity of disease, choice of treatment, and treatment outcomes. While the number of known variants has been increasing at a rapid pace, available evidence of their clinical effect has been lagging behind, constituting a challenge for clinicians and researchers. Multiplexed assays of variant effects (MAVEs) are important to close the gap; nonetheless, computational predictions of pathogenicity are still often the only available data for scoring variants. Such methods are not designed to provide a mechanistic explanation for the effect of amino acid substitutions. To this purpose, we propose structure-based frameworks as ensemble methodologies, with each method tailored to predict a different aspect among those exerted by amino acid substitutions to link predicted pathogenicity to mechanistic indicators. We review available frameworks, as well as advancements in underlying structure-based methods that predict variant effects on several protein features, such as protein stability, biomolecular interactions, allostery, post-translational modifications, and more.