This report describes methodologies for analysing heat saving
potentials. The background for the lack of activities in that
field is suggested. Various elements of heat savings are
described, including changes in daily behaviour and life styles.
Definition of various levels of potentials are suggested. Two
scenarios for future heat savings are established, deviating in
the rates of renovation, demolition, and construction of
buildings, as well as in the thermal insulation standards,
ventilation systems ,and in the daily behaviour. The results are
that compared to the base year 1995, heat consumption in 2030
would in these two scenarios, be lowered by 13% and 40%
respectively. Even in the latter case only around half of the
buildings have been improved by 2030, so demand is still declining.
|Number of pages||64|
|Publication status||Published - 1998|