Optimization under uncertainty of site-specific turbine configurations

J. Quick, K. Dykes, P. Graf, Frederik Zahle

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    Abstract

    Uncertainty affects many aspects of wind energy plant performance and cost. In this study, we explore opportunities for site-specific turbine configuration optimization that accounts for uncertainty in the wind resource. As a demonstration, a simple empirical model for wind plant cost of energy is used in an optimization under uncertainty to examine how different risk appetites affect the optimal selection of a turbine configuration for sites of different wind resource profiles. If there is unusually high uncertainty in the site wind resource, the optimal turbine configuration diverges from the deterministic case and a generally more conservative design is obtained with increasing risk aversion on the part of the designer.
    Original languageEnglish
    Article number062012
    Book seriesJournal of Physics: Conference Series (Online)
    Volume753
    Number of pages12
    ISSN1742-6596
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2016
    EventThe Science of Making Torque from Wind 2016 - Technische Universität München (TUM), Munich, Germany
    Duration: 5 Oct 20167 Oct 2016
    Conference number: 6
    https://www.events.tum.de/?sub=29

    Conference

    ConferenceThe Science of Making Torque from Wind 2016
    Number6
    LocationTechnische Universität München (TUM)
    Country/TerritoryGermany
    CityMunich
    Period05/10/201607/10/2016
    Internet address

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