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Abstract
The present thesis describes design and analysis of agricultural experiments utilizing the spatial and temporal correlation between the measurements. The thesis is organized in three parts, spatial experimental design in Part 1, analysis of temporally correlated measurements in Part 2 and a brief introduction to spatiotemporal models in part 3. Classical statistical analysis normally assumes independent observations. Therefore, knowledge concerning the spatial and temporal relation between plots and between measurements are not included in this kind of analysis. However, agricultural experiments often contain spatial correlations due to a spatial layout and/or temporal correlation due to repeated sampling of measurements at the same experimental unit. A method for design of field experiments is proposed in Part 1. The residual variance between plots in different layouts is used to compare different layouts. The optimal design and layout from a statistical point of view is the one with the smallest residual variance. The residual ariance between plots consists of an error term which depends on the plot size (the dispersion variance) and an error term independent of the plot size (assumed to be the nugget variance). The two error terms are estimated using a semivariogram describing the variation between plots as a function of the distance between them. The method for calculation of the residual variance is based on a uniformity trial. Unfortunately, uniformity trials are seldomly performed. Therefore, an approach for estimating and removing treatment effects in ordinary field experiments is described. The treatment eliminated residuals obtained in this way can then be used as the base for calculating the residual variance. An example based on a uniformity trial showed a remarkable reduction of the residual variance by choosing among different possible layouts. In Part 2 different methods are described for the analysis of temporally correlated measurements in field trials. When the assumption of sphericity is satisfied the univariate analysis of variance is a valid, easy and comprehensive method to use. However, the assumption is seldomly satisfied for repeated measurements due to the temporal correlation between the measurements at the same experimental unit. Alternative methods have to be used in this case to obtain a valid analysis. A modified univariate analysis of variance with adjusted Ftests is a simple alternative to the usual univariate analysis of variance. Different multivariate analyses are given both with and without a structured variancecovariance matrix. Antedependence and autoregressive variancecovariance structures have been tried. The analysis with a structured variancecovariance matrix is in some sense a compromise between the univariate and multivariate analyses. The latter methods with a structured variancecovariance matrix often bring forth a very informative analysis with few restrictions and reasonable results. An analysis with a structured variancecovariance matrix using an antedependence structure is to be preferred to an autoregressive structure because the antedependence structure gives a model which can take the different variations and correlations into account at the cost of only a few extra parameters. The conclusion of the thesis is that design and analysis of agricultural experiments can be improved by utilization of the spatial and/or temporal correlation between measurements.
Original language  English 

Place of Publication  Kgs. Lyngby 

Publisher  Technical University of Denmark 
Publication status  Published  1994 
Series  IMMPHD19947 

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 1 Finished

Udvikling og optimering af kemiske processer under anvendelse af statistiske korrelationsmetoder
Ersbøll, A. K. & Spliid, H.
01/09/1987 → 25/04/1995
Project: PhD