Interactive Foresight Simulation

Mette Sanne Hansen; Lauge Baungaard Rasmussen; Peter Jacobsen

doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2015.10.011

Interactive Foresight Simulation

Mette Sanne Hansen, Lauge Baungaard Rasmussen, Peter Jacobsen

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

1038 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

The Combined Simulation Approach (CSA) is a way to evaluate risks and address potential unforeseen problems in a more interactive way than what is often observed in practice in companies or sectors. The approach is based on a combination of scenario analysis and discrete-event computer simulation with which the strategies can be continuously developed. The contribution of this paper is to narrow the knowledge gap between strategic, tactical and operational levels of an organization. The paper demonstrates howit is possible towork proactivelywith both the breadth and depth of strategies using a Danish knowledge intensive company as an example. © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Original language	English
Journal	Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume	103
Pages (from-to)	214–227
ISSN	0040-1625
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.10.011
Publication status	Published - 2016

Keywords

Narrative simulation
Numerical simulation
Foresight
Scenario building
Strategy
Backsourcing

Access to Document

10.1016/j.techfore.2015.10.011

Interactive Foresight Simulation CleanAccepted author manuscript, 512 KB

OpenUrl availability

Full text

Cite this

@article{74da929e14714ef9a5ac198b7fddd449,

title = "Interactive Foresight Simulation",

abstract = "The Combined Simulation Approach (CSA) is a way to evaluate risks and address potential unforeseen problems in a more interactive way than what is often observed in practice in companies or sectors. The approach is based on a combination of scenario analysis and discrete-event computer simulation with which the strategies can be continuously developed. The contribution of this paper is to narrow the knowledge gap between strategic, tactical and operational levels of an organization. The paper demonstrates howit is possible towork proactivelywith both the breadth and depth of strategies using a Danish knowledge intensive company as an example. {\textcopyright} 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.",

keywords = "Narrative simulation, Numerical simulation, Foresight, Scenario building, Strategy, Backsourcing",

author = "Hansen, {Mette Sanne} and Rasmussen, {Lauge Baungaard} and Peter Jacobsen",

year = "2016",

doi = "10.1016/j.techfore.2015.10.011",

language = "English",

volume = "103",

pages = "214–227",

journal = "Technological Forecasting and Social Change",

issn = "0040-1625",

publisher = "Elsevier",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Interactive Foresight Simulation

AU - Hansen, Mette Sanne

AU - Rasmussen, Lauge Baungaard

AU - Jacobsen, Peter

PY - 2016

Y1 - 2016

N2 - The Combined Simulation Approach (CSA) is a way to evaluate risks and address potential unforeseen problems in a more interactive way than what is often observed in practice in companies or sectors. The approach is based on a combination of scenario analysis and discrete-event computer simulation with which the strategies can be continuously developed. The contribution of this paper is to narrow the knowledge gap between strategic, tactical and operational levels of an organization. The paper demonstrates howit is possible towork proactivelywith both the breadth and depth of strategies using a Danish knowledge intensive company as an example. © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

AB - The Combined Simulation Approach (CSA) is a way to evaluate risks and address potential unforeseen problems in a more interactive way than what is often observed in practice in companies or sectors. The approach is based on a combination of scenario analysis and discrete-event computer simulation with which the strategies can be continuously developed. The contribution of this paper is to narrow the knowledge gap between strategic, tactical and operational levels of an organization. The paper demonstrates howit is possible towork proactivelywith both the breadth and depth of strategies using a Danish knowledge intensive company as an example. © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

KW - Narrative simulation

KW - Numerical simulation

KW - Foresight

KW - Scenario building

KW - Strategy

KW - Backsourcing

U2 - 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.10.011

DO - 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.10.011

M3 - Journal article

SN - 0040-1625

VL - 103

SP - 214

EP - 227

JO - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

JF - Technological Forecasting and Social Change

ER -

Interactive Foresight Simulation

Abstract

Keywords

Access to Document

OpenUrl availability

Fingerprint

Cite this