Projects per year
Abstract
This study presents MoCho-TIMES, an original methodology for incorporating modal choice into energy-economy-environment-engineering (E4) system models. MoCho-TIMES addresses the scarce ability of E4 models to realistically depict behaviour in transport and allows for modal shift towards transit and non-motorized modes as a new dimension for decarbonising the transportation sector. The novel methodology determines endogenous modal shares by incorporating variables related to the level-of-service (LoS) of modes and consumers’ modal perception within the E4 modeling framework. Heterogeneity of transport users is introduced to differentiate modal perception and preferences across different consumer groups, while modal preferences are quantified via monetization of intangible costs. A support transport simulation model consistent with the geographical scope of the E4 model provides the data and mathematical expressions required to develop the approach. This study develops MoCho-TIMES in the standalone transportation sector of TIMES-DK, the integrated energy system model for Denmark. The model is tested for the Business as Usual scenario and for four alternative scenarios that imply diverse assumptions for the new attributes introduced. The results show that different assumptions for the new attributes affect modal shares and CO2 emissions. MoCho-TIMES inaugurates the possibility to perform innovative policy analyses involving new parameters to the E4 modeling framework. The results find that authority's commitment to sustainability is crucial for a paradigmatic change in the transportation sector.
Original language | English |
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Journal | Applied Energy |
Volume | 212 |
Pages (from-to) | 265-282 |
ISSN | 0306-2619 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2018 |
Keywords
- Bottom-up energy system modeling
- Mobility behaviour
- Modal choice
- TIMES-MARKAL
- Transport
Fingerprint
Dive into the research topics of 'Improving the representation of modal choice into bottom-up optimization energy system models - The MoCho-TIMES model'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.Projects
- 1 Finished
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COMETS: Co-Management of Energy and Transport Systems
Gregg, J. S. (Project Manager), Karlsson, K. B. (Project Manager), Münster, M. (Project Participant), Pizarro Alonso, A. R. (Project Participant), Balyk, O. (Project Participant), Tattini, J. (PhD Student), Venturini, G. (PhD Student), Ahanchian, M. (Project Participant) & Simonsen, M. B. (PhD Student)
01/01/2014 → 01/06/2019
Project: Research
Activities
- 2 Conference presentations
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Improving the representation of consumers’ choice in transport within E4 models
Tattini, J. (Guest lecturer)
18 Jun 2018Activity: Talks and presentations › Conference presentations
File -
Improving the representation of modal choice into bottom-up optimization energy system models
Tattini, J. (Guest lecturer)
13 Jul 2017Activity: Talks and presentations › Conference presentations
File