Improving European decision support reliability and robustness to manage scenarios involving contamination of inhabited areas

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Abstract

In recent years, various efforts have been made to enable the European standard decision support systems for management of contaminated areas to address uncertainties in different parts of the dose estimation framework, in order to provide more robust prognoses. Under the European research project CONFIDENCE (COping with uNcertainties For Improved modelling and DEcision making in Nuclear emergenCiEs), the ERMIN model for external dose estimation in contaminated inhabited areas was revisited in this context. Although rough indications of parametric uncertainties associated with some ERMIN parameters have previously been indicated, it was clear that an effort was needed to systematically improve on the quality of these parameter uncertainty indications, taking the latest information into account and considering a wider range of case specific parametric options, thus reducing the overall
prognostic uncertainty.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationFifth NERIS Workshop: “Key challenges in the preparedness, response and recovery phase of a nuclear or radiological emergency” : Proceedings
Publication date2019
Pages15-21
ISBN (Electronic)978-2-9552982-3-7
Publication statusPublished - 2019
EventFifth NERIS Workshop: Key challenges in the preparedness, response and recovery phase of a nuclear or radiological emergency - Roskilde, Denmark
Duration: 3 Apr 20195 Apr 2019
Conference number: 5

Conference

ConferenceFifth NERIS Workshop
Number5
CountryDenmark
CityRoskilde
Period03/04/201905/04/2019

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