Improving European decision support reliability and robustness to manage scenarios involving contamination of inhabited areas

Kasper G. Andersson

Improving European decision support reliability and robustness to manage scenarios involving contamination of inhabited areas

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Article in proceedings › Research › peer-review

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Abstract

In recent years, various efforts have been made to enable the European standard decision support systems for management of contaminated areas to address uncertainties in different parts of the dose estimation framework, in order to provide more robust prognoses. Under the European research project CONFIDENCE (COping with uNcertainties For Improved modelling and DEcision making in Nuclear emergenCiEs), the ERMIN model for external dose estimation in contaminated inhabited areas was revisited in this context. Although rough indications of parametric uncertainties associated with some ERMIN parameters have previously been indicated, it was clear that an effort was needed to systematically improve on the quality of these parameter uncertainty indications, taking the latest information into account and considering a wider range of case specific parametric options, thus reducing the overall
prognostic uncertainty.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Fifth NERIS Workshop: “Key challenges in the preparedness, response and recovery phase of a nuclear or radiological emergency” : Proceedings
Publication date	2019
Pages	15-21
ISBN (Electronic)	978-2-9552982-3-7
Publication status	Published - 2019
Event	Fifth NERIS Workshop: Key challenges in the preparedness, response and recovery phase of a nuclear or radiological emergency - Roskilde, Denmark Duration: 3 Apr 2019 → 5 Apr 2019 Conference number: 5

Conference

Conference	Fifth NERIS Workshop
Number	5
Country/Territory	Denmark
City	Roskilde
Period	03/04/2019 → 05/04/2019

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title = "Improving European decision support reliability and robustness to manage scenarios involving contamination of inhabited areas",

abstract = "In recent years, various efforts have been made to enable the European standard decision support systems for management of contaminated areas to address uncertainties in different parts of the dose estimation framework, in order to provide more robust prognoses. Under the European research project CONFIDENCE (COping with uNcertainties For Improved modelling and DEcision making in Nuclear emergenCiEs), the ERMIN model for external dose estimation in contaminated inhabited areas was revisited in this context. Although rough indications of parametric uncertainties associated with some ERMIN parameters have previously been indicated, it was clear that an effort was needed to systematically improve on the quality of these parameter uncertainty indications, taking the latest information into account and considering a wider range of case specific parametric options, thus reducing the overallprognostic uncertainty. ",

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Improving European decision support reliability and robustness to manage scenarios involving contamination of inhabited areas. / Andersson, Kasper G.
Fifth NERIS Workshop: “Key challenges in the preparedness, response and recovery phase of a nuclear or radiological emergency”: Proceedings. 2019. p. 15-21.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Article in proceedings › Research › peer-review

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Improving European decision support reliability and robustness to manage scenarios involving contamination of inhabited areas

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