Identifying Disruptive Technologies: Horizon Scanning in the Early Stages of Design

Sidsel Katrine Ernstsen; Christian Thuesen; Laurids Rolighed Larsen; Anja Maier

doi:10.21278/idc.2018.0105

Identifying Disruptive Technologies: Horizon Scanning in the Early Stages of Design

Sidsel Katrine Ernstsen, Christian Thuesen, Laurids Rolighed Larsen, Anja Maier

Copenhagen Center for Health Technology

NIRAS A/S

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Article in proceedings › Research › peer-review

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Abstract

Technology development is accelerating, driving disruption. Design is seen as key differentiator in creating innovative offerings but few design methods consider future technologies explicitly. In this article, we explore how a foresight method, namely horizon scanning, may be applied in a design context to anticipate disruption of construction. By means of a 3-step horizon scan, we identify 133 potentially disruptive technologies from across industries. We find that when preparing for disruption, design may benefit from the future-oriented and technology-focused features of horizon scanning.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	DS92: Proceedings of the DESIGN 2018 15th International Design Conference
Publisher	Design Society
Publication date	2018
Pages	1833-1844
ISBN (Electronic)	978-953-7738-59-4
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.21278/idc.2018.0105
Publication status	Published - 2018
Event	DESIGN2018 - 15^th International Design Conference - Dubrovnik, Croatia Duration: 21 May 2018 → 24 May 2018 Conference number: 15 http://www.designconference.org/

Conference

Conference	DESIGN2018 - 15^th International Design Conference
Number	15
Country/Territory	Croatia
City	Dubrovnik
Period	21/05/2018 → 24/05/2018
Internet address	http://www.designconference.org/

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Ernstsen et al Identifying disruptive technologies 2018 DS92 105Final published version, 1.07 MB

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title = "Identifying Disruptive Technologies: Horizon Scanning in the Early Stages of Design",

abstract = "Technology development is accelerating, driving disruption. Design is seen as key differentiator in creating innovative offerings but few design methods consider future technologies explicitly. In this article, we explore how a foresight method, namely horizon scanning, may be applied in a design context to anticipate disruption of construction. By means of a 3-step horizon scan, we identify 133 potentially disruptive technologies from across industries. We find that when preparing for disruption, design may benefit from the future-oriented and technology-focused features of horizon scanning.",

author = "Ernstsen, {Sidsel Katrine} and Christian Thuesen and Larsen, {Laurids Rolighed} and Anja Maier",

year = "2018",

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language = "English",

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booktitle = "DS92: Proceedings of the DESIGN 2018 15th International Design Conference",

publisher = "Design Society",

note = "DESIGN2018 - 15<sup>th</sup> International Design Conference, DESIGN2018 ; Conference date: 21-05-2018 Through 24-05-2018",

url = "http://www.designconference.org/",

}

Identifying Disruptive Technologies: Horizon Scanning in the Early Stages of Design. / Ernstsen, Sidsel Katrine; Thuesen, Christian; Larsen, Laurids Rolighed et al.
DS92: Proceedings of the DESIGN 2018 15th International Design Conference. Design Society, 2018. p. 1833-1844.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Article in proceedings › Research › peer-review

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Identifying Disruptive Technologies: Horizon Scanning in the Early Stages of Design

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