Hess opinions: An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection

Giuliano Di Baldassarre*, Heidi Kreibich, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Jeroen Aerts, Karsten Arnbjerg-Nielsen, Marlies Barendrecht, Paul Bates, Marco Borga, Wouter Botzen, Philip Bubeck, Bruna De Marchi, Carmen Llasat, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Daniela Molinari, Elena Mondino, Johanna Märd, Olga Petrucci, Anna Scolobig, Alberto Viglione, Philip J. Ward

*Corresponding author for this work

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Abstract

One common approach to cope with floods is the implementation of structural flood protection measures, such as levees or flood-control reservoirs, which substantially reduce the probability of flooding at the time of implementation. Numerous scholars have problematized this approach. They have shown that increasing the levels of flood protection can attract more settlements and high-value assets in the areas protected by the new measures. Other studies have explored how structural measures can generate a sense of complacency, which can act to reduce preparedness. These paradoxical risk changes have been described as "levee effect", "safe development paradox" or "safety dilemma". In this commentary, we briefly review this phenomenon by critically analysing the intended benefits and unintended effects of structural flood protection, and then we propose an interdisciplinary research agenda to uncover these paradoxical dynamics of risk.

Original languageEnglish
JournalHydrology and Earth System Sciences
Volume22
Issue number11
Pages (from-to)5629-5637
Number of pages9
ISSN1027-5606
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2018

Cite this

Baldassarre, Giuliano Di ; Kreibich, Heidi ; Vorogushyn, Sergiy ; Aerts, Jeroen ; Arnbjerg-Nielsen, Karsten ; Barendrecht, Marlies ; Bates, Paul ; Borga, Marco ; Botzen, Wouter ; Bubeck, Philip ; De Marchi, Bruna ; Llasat, Carmen ; Mazzoleni, Maurizio ; Molinari, Daniela ; Mondino, Elena ; Märd, Johanna ; Petrucci, Olga ; Scolobig, Anna ; Viglione, Alberto ; Ward, Philip J. / Hess opinions : An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection. In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. 2018 ; Vol. 22, No. 11. pp. 5629-5637.
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author = "Baldassarre, {Giuliano Di} and Heidi Kreibich and Sergiy Vorogushyn and Jeroen Aerts and Karsten Arnbjerg-Nielsen and Marlies Barendrecht and Paul Bates and Marco Borga and Wouter Botzen and Philip Bubeck and {De Marchi}, Bruna and Carmen Llasat and Maurizio Mazzoleni and Daniela Molinari and Elena Mondino and Johanna M{\"a}rd and Olga Petrucci and Anna Scolobig and Alberto Viglione and Ward, {Philip J.}",
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language = "English",
volume = "22",
pages = "5629--5637",
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Baldassarre, GD, Kreibich, H, Vorogushyn, S, Aerts, J, Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K, Barendrecht, M, Bates, P, Borga, M, Botzen, W, Bubeck, P, De Marchi, B, Llasat, C, Mazzoleni, M, Molinari, D, Mondino, E, Märd, J, Petrucci, O, Scolobig, A, Viglione, A & Ward, PJ 2018, 'Hess opinions: An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, vol. 22, no. 11, pp. 5629-5637. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5629-2018

Hess opinions : An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection. / Baldassarre, Giuliano Di; Kreibich, Heidi; Vorogushyn, Sergiy; Aerts, Jeroen; Arnbjerg-Nielsen, Karsten; Barendrecht, Marlies; Bates, Paul; Borga, Marco; Botzen, Wouter; Bubeck, Philip; De Marchi, Bruna; Llasat, Carmen; Mazzoleni, Maurizio; Molinari, Daniela; Mondino, Elena; Märd, Johanna; Petrucci, Olga; Scolobig, Anna; Viglione, Alberto; Ward, Philip J.

In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 22, No. 11, 2018, p. 5629-5637.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - Hess opinions

T2 - An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection

AU - Baldassarre, Giuliano Di

AU - Kreibich, Heidi

AU - Vorogushyn, Sergiy

AU - Aerts, Jeroen

AU - Arnbjerg-Nielsen, Karsten

AU - Barendrecht, Marlies

AU - Bates, Paul

AU - Borga, Marco

AU - Botzen, Wouter

AU - Bubeck, Philip

AU - De Marchi, Bruna

AU - Llasat, Carmen

AU - Mazzoleni, Maurizio

AU - Molinari, Daniela

AU - Mondino, Elena

AU - Märd, Johanna

AU - Petrucci, Olga

AU - Scolobig, Anna

AU - Viglione, Alberto

AU - Ward, Philip J.

PY - 2018

Y1 - 2018

N2 - One common approach to cope with floods is the implementation of structural flood protection measures, such as levees or flood-control reservoirs, which substantially reduce the probability of flooding at the time of implementation. Numerous scholars have problematized this approach. They have shown that increasing the levels of flood protection can attract more settlements and high-value assets in the areas protected by the new measures. Other studies have explored how structural measures can generate a sense of complacency, which can act to reduce preparedness. These paradoxical risk changes have been described as "levee effect", "safe development paradox" or "safety dilemma". In this commentary, we briefly review this phenomenon by critically analysing the intended benefits and unintended effects of structural flood protection, and then we propose an interdisciplinary research agenda to uncover these paradoxical dynamics of risk.

AB - One common approach to cope with floods is the implementation of structural flood protection measures, such as levees or flood-control reservoirs, which substantially reduce the probability of flooding at the time of implementation. Numerous scholars have problematized this approach. They have shown that increasing the levels of flood protection can attract more settlements and high-value assets in the areas protected by the new measures. Other studies have explored how structural measures can generate a sense of complacency, which can act to reduce preparedness. These paradoxical risk changes have been described as "levee effect", "safe development paradox" or "safety dilemma". In this commentary, we briefly review this phenomenon by critically analysing the intended benefits and unintended effects of structural flood protection, and then we propose an interdisciplinary research agenda to uncover these paradoxical dynamics of risk.

U2 - 10.5194/hess-22-5629-2018

DO - 10.5194/hess-22-5629-2018

M3 - Journal article

AN - SCOPUS:85056254130

VL - 22

SP - 5629

EP - 5637

JO - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

JF - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

SN - 1027-5606

IS - 11

ER -