Generation of large-scale PV scenarios using aggregated power curves

Edgar Nuño Martinez, Nicolaos Antonio Cutululis

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingArticle in proceedingsResearchpeer-review

Abstract

The contribution of solar photovoltaic (PV) power to the generation is becoming more relevant in modern power system. Therefore, there is a need to model the variability large-scale PV generation accurately. This paper presents a novel methodology to generate regional PV scenarios based on aggregated power curves rather than traditional physical PV conversion models. Our approach is based on hourly mesoscale reanalysis irradiation data and power measurements and do not require additional variables such as ambient temperature or wind speed. It was used to simulate the PV generation on the German system between 2012 and 2015 showing high levels of correlation with actual measurements (93.02–97.60%) and small deviations from the expected capacity factors (0.02–1.80%). Therefore, we are confident about the ability of the proposed model to accurately generate realistic large-scale PV scenarios.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2017 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting
Number of pages5
PublisherIEEE
Publication date2017
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2017
Event 2017 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting - Chicago, United States
Duration: 16 Jul 201720 Jul 2017

Conference

Conference 2017 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting
CountryUnited States
CityChicago
Period16/07/201720/07/2017
SeriesIeee Power and Energy Society General Meeting
ISSN1944-9933

Keywords

  • Renewable energy sources
  • Solar energy integration

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