Future energy consumption and emissions in East-, Central- and West-China: Insights from soft-linking two global models

Hancheng Dai, Peggy Mischke

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    Abstract

    China's role in the global economy and energy markets is expanding, however many uncertainties with regards to the country's future energy consumption and emissions remain. Large regional disparities between China's provinces exist. Scenario analysis for different sub-regions of China will be useful for an improved understanding of China's potential future development and associated global impacts. This study soft-links a global dynamic CGE model and a global technology-rich energy system model. Both models are expanded to include East-, Central-, and West-China. This study shows that soft-linking affects the China-specific reference scenario results in the CGE model considerably. Energy consumption and emissions are decreasing in China until 2050 while regional differences within China remain high.
    Original languageEnglish
    JournalEnergy Procedia
    Volume61
    Pages (from-to)2584 – 2587
    ISSN1876-6102
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2014
    Event6th International Conference on Applied Energy - National Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taipei City, Taiwan, Province of China
    Duration: 30 May 20142 Jun 2014

    Conference

    Conference6th International Conference on Applied Energy
    LocationNational Taiwan University of Science and Technology
    CountryTaiwan, Province of China
    CityTaipei City
    Period30/05/201402/06/2014

    Bibliographical note

    © 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license.

    Keywords

    • China
    • TIMES Integrated Assessment Model
    • Asian-Pacific Integrated assessment Model
    • Soft-linking
    • Scenario analysis

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