Fremtidige Klimaforandringer i Danmark

Martin Olesen; Kristine Skovgaard Madsen; Carsten Ankjær Ludwigsen; Fredrik Boberg; Tina Christensen; John Cappelen; Ole Bøssing Christensen; Katrine Krogh Andersen; Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen

Fremtidige Klimaforandringer i Danmark

Martin Olesen, Kristine Skovgaard Madsen, Carsten Ankjær Ludwigsen, Fredrik Boberg, Tina Christensen, John Cappelen, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Katrine Krogh Andersen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen

Danish Meteorological Institute

Research output: Book/Report › Report › Research › peer-review

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Abstract

DMI has estimated the expected climate change in Denmark based on the latest Danish and European scenario calculations focusing on climate change towards the end of this century. The assessment of future climate change is based on the scenarios used by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and climate changes are expected to increase towards 2100. Climate simulations and understanding of associated uncertainties are constantly being improved. DMI here presents the latest results based on IPCC, BACC, European studies and the Danish CRES project where a number of climate simulations performed with several regional and global climate models. Projection of future climate change based on an ensemble of climate models is more robust than estimates based on a single model. Future sea level rise depends on melting of snow and ice on land and ocean heating. The amount of melting ice is associated with large uncertainties. The observed sea level around Denmark since 1900, corrected for land rise, is presented together with scenarios of future sea level rise.

Original language	Danish

Publisher	DMI
Number of pages	35
ISBN (Electronic)	978-87-7478-652-8
Publication status	Published - 2014
Externally published	Yes

Keywords

Temperatur
Nedbør
Havniveau
Klima

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

Klimaforandringer dmiFinal published version, 2.53 MB

http://www.dmi.dk/klimaforandringer

OpenUrl availability

Full text

Cite this

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AU - Olesen, Martin

AU - Madsen, Kristine Skovgaard

AU - Ludwigsen, Carsten Ankjær

AU - Boberg, Fredrik

AU - Christensen, Tina

AU - Cappelen, John

AU - Bøssing Christensen, Ole

AU - Andersen, Katrine Krogh

AU - Christensen, Jens Hesselbjerg

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AB - DMI has estimated the expected climate change in Denmark based on the latest Danish and European scenario calculations focusing on climate change towards the end of this century. The assessment of future climate change is based on the scenarios used by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and climate changes are expected to increase towards 2100. Climate simulations and understanding of associated uncertainties are constantly being improved. DMI here presents the latest results based on IPCC, BACC, European studies and the Danish CRES project where a number of climate simulations performed with several regional and global climate models. Projection of future climate change based on an ensemble of climate models is more robust than estimates based on a single model. Future sea level rise depends on melting of snow and ice on land and ocean heating. The amount of melting ice is associated with large uncertainties. The observed sea level around Denmark since 1900, corrected for land rise, is presented together with scenarios of future sea level rise.

KW - Temperatur

KW - Nedbør

KW - Havniveau

KW - Klima

M3 - Rapport

BT - Fremtidige Klimaforandringer i Danmark

PB - DMI

ER -