Foresighting for Inclusive Development

Allan Dahl Andersen, Per Dannemand Andersen

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    Abstract

    We propose that foresight can contribute to inclusive development by making innovation systems more inclusive. Processes of developing future oriented innovation policies are often unsuccessful and rarely inclusive. We conceptualize such processes as foresighting. We focus on how the ex-ante design of policymaking processes affects the actual process with a focus on inclusion, and we discuss how it affects policy effectiveness and innovation system transformation. Our argument is that processes of policymaking must be inclusive to affect and transform innovation systems because a set of distributed actors, rather than ministries and innovation agencies, is the gatekeepers of change. From this perspective, inclusion is a precondition rather than an obstacle for transformation. Based on the notion of innovation system foresight, we develop an analytical framework that we use to study design and processes in foresight cases in two emerging economies: Brazil and South Korea. We conclude that better systemic and innovation oriented foresight is needed to enhance inclusive development.
    Original languageEnglish
    JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
    Volume119
    Pages (from-to)227-236
    ISSN0040-1625
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2017

    Keywords

    • Inclusive development
    • Foresight
    • Innovation systems
    • Innovation policy
    • Emerging economies

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