Abstract
We present stochastic flow forecasts to be used in a real-time control setup for urban drainage systems. The forecasts are generated using greybox models with rain gauge and radar rainfall observations as input. Predictions are evaluated as intervals rather than just mean values. We obtain satisfactory predictions for the smaller catchment but rather large uncertainties for the bigger catchment where the applied storage cascade seems too simple. Radar rainfall introduces more uncertainty into the flow forecast model estimation. However, the radar rainfall forecasts also result in a slightly improved point prediction of
flows which we aim to exploit with a modified estimation approach in the future.
flows which we aim to exploit with a modified estimation approach in the future.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Hydroinformatics |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Publication date | 2012 |
| Publication status | Published - 2012 |
| Event | 10th International Conference on Hydroinformatics: Understanding Changing Climate and Environment and Finding Solutions - Hamburg University of Technology, Hamburg, Germany Duration: 14 Jul 2012 → 18 Jul 2012 Conference number: 10 http://hic2012.de/ |
Conference
| Conference | 10th International Conference on Hydroinformatics |
|---|---|
| Number | 10 |
| Location | Hamburg University of Technology |
| Country/Territory | Germany |
| City | Hamburg |
| Period | 14/07/2012 → 18/07/2012 |
| Internet address |