Evaluation of Dynamical Downscaling Resolution Effect on Wind Energy Forecast Value for a Wind Farm in Central Sweden

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Abstract

For any energy system relying on wind power, accurate forecasts of wind fluctuations are essential for efficient integration into the power grid. Increased forecast precision allows end-users to plan day-ahead operation with reduced risk of penalties which in turn supports the feasibility of wind energy. The present study aims to quantify value added to wind energy forecasts in the 12-48 hour leadtime by downscaling global numerical weather prediction (NWP) data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Global Forecast System (GFS) using the limited-area NWP model described in Skamarock et al. (2008).
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 3rd International Lund Regional-Scale Climate Modelling Workshop: 21st Century Challenges in Regional Climate Modelling
Publication date2014
Pages282-283
Publication statusPublished - 2014
Event3rd International Lund Regional-Scale Climate Modelling Workshop: 21st Century Challenges in Regional Climate Modelling - Lund, Sweden
Duration: 16 Jun 201419 Jun 2014
Conference number: 3
http://www.baltex-research.eu/RCM2014/

Conference

Conference3rd International Lund Regional-Scale Climate Modelling Workshop
Number3
CountrySweden
CityLund
Period16/06/201419/06/2014
Internet address
SeriesInternational Baltic Earth Secretariat Publications
Number3
ISSN2198-4247

Cite this

Rosgaard, M. H., Hahmann, A. N., Nielsen, T. S., Giebel, G., Sørensen, P. E., & Madsen, H. (2014). Evaluation of Dynamical Downscaling Resolution Effect on Wind Energy Forecast Value for a Wind Farm in Central Sweden. In Proceedings of the 3rd International Lund Regional-Scale Climate Modelling Workshop: 21st Century Challenges in Regional Climate Modelling (pp. 282-283). International Baltic Earth Secretariat Publications, No. 3