Eschatology, Infinite Series, and Reliability

Peter W. Becker

doi:10.1109/TR.1982.5221274

Eschatology, Infinite Series, and Reliability

Peter W. Becker

Technical University of Denmark

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Abstract

This communication is concerned with a most timely problem. Early warning systems against ICBM-attacks now and then cause false alarms which in turn can trigger a retaliatory ICBM attack. Up until now any retaliatory attacks have been stopped before any consequences have resulted. I try to compute the joint probability of infinitely many false alarms being detected before serious consequences have resulted.

Original language	English
Journal	I E E E Transactions on Reliability
Volume	R-31
Issue number	2
Pages (from-to)	135-136
ISSN	0018-9529
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/TR.1982.5221274
Publication status	Published - 1982

Bibliographical note

Copyright: 1982 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to reprint/republish this material for advertising or promotional purposes or for creating new collective works for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or to reuse any copyrighted component of this work in other works must be obtained from the IEEE

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abstract = "This communication is concerned with a most timely problem. Early warning systems against ICBM-attacks now and then cause false alarms which in turn can trigger a retaliatory ICBM attack. Up until now any retaliatory attacks have been stopped before any consequences have resulted. I try to compute the joint probability of infinitely many false alarms being detected before serious consequences have resulted.",

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AB - This communication is concerned with a most timely problem. Early warning systems against ICBM-attacks now and then cause false alarms which in turn can trigger a retaliatory ICBM attack. Up until now any retaliatory attacks have been stopped before any consequences have resulted. I try to compute the joint probability of infinitely many false alarms being detected before serious consequences have resulted.

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Eschatology, Infinite Series, and Reliability

Abstract

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