An attempt to define critical wave and wind scenarios leading to capsize in beam sea

Jørgen Juncher Jensen, Ju-hyuck Choi, Hans Otto Holmegaard Kristensen, Ulrik Dam Nielsen, Henrik Erichsen, Erik I. Tvedt

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    Abstract

    The IMO Weather Criterion has proven to be the governing stability criteria regarding minimum GM for e.g. small ferries and large passenger ships. The formulation of the Weather Criterion is based on some empirical relations derived many years ago for vessels not necessary representative for current new buildings with large superstructures. Thus it seems rea-sonable to investigate the possibility of capsizing in beam sea under the joint action of waves and wind using direct time domain simulations. This has already been done in several studies. Here it is combined with the First Order Reliability Method to define possible combined critical wave and wind scenarios leading to capsize and corresponding probability of capsize. The results for a fictitious vessel are compared with Monte Carlo simulation and good agreement is found at a much lesser computational effort. Finally, the results for a large container vessel and a small ferry will be discussed in the light of the current weather criterion.
    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationProceedings of the 13th International Symposium on Practical Design of Ships and Other Floating Structures (PRADS’2016)
    EditorsUlrik Dam Nielsen, Jørgen Juncher Jensen
    Number of pages7
    PublisherTechnical University of Denmark
    Publication date2016
    ISBN (Electronic)978-87-7475-473-2
    Publication statusPublished - 2016
    Event13th International Symposium on Practical Design of Ships and Other Floating Structures (PRADS'2016) - Hotel Crowne Plaza, Copenhagen, Denmark
    Duration: 4 Sept 20168 Sept 2016
    Conference number: 13

    Conference

    Conference13th International Symposium on Practical Design of Ships and Other Floating Structures (PRADS'2016)
    Number13
    LocationHotel Crowne Plaza
    Country/TerritoryDenmark
    CityCopenhagen
    Period04/09/201608/09/2016

    Keywords

    • Weather criteria
    • Wind loads
    • Wave loads
    • FORM
    • Capsize
    • Design Load scenarios

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