A Polynomial Estimate of Railway Line Delay

Fabrizio Cerreto, Steven Harrod*, Otto Anker Nielsen

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalConference articleResearchpeer-review

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    Abstract

    Railway service may be measured by the aggregate delay over a time horizon or due to an event. Timetables for railway service may dampen aggregate delay by addition of additional process time, either supplement time or buffer time. The evaluation of these variables has previously been performed by numerical analysis with simulation. This paper proposes an analytical estimate of aggregate delay with a polynomial form. The function returns the aggregate delay of a railway line resulting from an initial, primary, delay. Analysis of the function demonstrates that there should be a balance between the two remedial measures, supplement and buffer. Numerical analysis of a Copenhagen Sbane line shows that the
    polynomial function is valid even when theoretical assumptions are violated.
    Original languageEnglish
    JournalDanish Journal of Transportation Research - Dansk tidskrift for transportforskning
    Number of pages5
    ISSN1603-9696
    Publication statusPublished - 2017
    EventTrafikdage 2017 - Aalborg, Denmark
    Duration: 28 Aug 201729 Aug 2017

    Conference

    ConferenceTrafikdage 2017
    CountryDenmark
    CityAalborg
    Period28/08/201729/08/2017

    Cite this

    @inproceedings{c51390e410734716b38f7f02b459a224,
    title = "A Polynomial Estimate of Railway Line Delay",
    abstract = "Railway service may be measured by the aggregate delay over a time horizon or due to an event. Timetables for railway service may dampen aggregate delay by addition of additional process time, either supplement time or buffer time. The evaluation of these variables has previously been performed by numerical analysis with simulation. This paper proposes an analytical estimate of aggregate delay with a polynomial form. The function returns the aggregate delay of a railway line resulting from an initial, primary, delay. Analysis of the function demonstrates that there should be a balance between the two remedial measures, supplement and buffer. Numerical analysis of a Copenhagen Sbane line shows that thepolynomial function is valid even when theoretical assumptions are violated.",
    author = "Fabrizio Cerreto and Steven Harrod and Nielsen, {Otto Anker}",
    year = "2017",
    language = "English",
    journal = "Danish Journal of Transportation Research - Dansk tidskrift for transportforskning",
    issn = "1603-9696",
    publisher = "Division for Transportation Engineering, AAU",

    }

    A Polynomial Estimate of Railway Line Delay. / Cerreto, Fabrizio; Harrod, Steven; Nielsen, Otto Anker.

    In: Danish Journal of Transportation Research - Dansk tidskrift for transportforskning, 2017.

    Research output: Contribution to journalConference articleResearchpeer-review

    TY - GEN

    T1 - A Polynomial Estimate of Railway Line Delay

    AU - Cerreto, Fabrizio

    AU - Harrod, Steven

    AU - Nielsen, Otto Anker

    PY - 2017

    Y1 - 2017

    N2 - Railway service may be measured by the aggregate delay over a time horizon or due to an event. Timetables for railway service may dampen aggregate delay by addition of additional process time, either supplement time or buffer time. The evaluation of these variables has previously been performed by numerical analysis with simulation. This paper proposes an analytical estimate of aggregate delay with a polynomial form. The function returns the aggregate delay of a railway line resulting from an initial, primary, delay. Analysis of the function demonstrates that there should be a balance between the two remedial measures, supplement and buffer. Numerical analysis of a Copenhagen Sbane line shows that thepolynomial function is valid even when theoretical assumptions are violated.

    AB - Railway service may be measured by the aggregate delay over a time horizon or due to an event. Timetables for railway service may dampen aggregate delay by addition of additional process time, either supplement time or buffer time. The evaluation of these variables has previously been performed by numerical analysis with simulation. This paper proposes an analytical estimate of aggregate delay with a polynomial form. The function returns the aggregate delay of a railway line resulting from an initial, primary, delay. Analysis of the function demonstrates that there should be a balance between the two remedial measures, supplement and buffer. Numerical analysis of a Copenhagen Sbane line shows that thepolynomial function is valid even when theoretical assumptions are violated.

    M3 - Conference article

    JO - Danish Journal of Transportation Research - Dansk tidskrift for transportforskning

    JF - Danish Journal of Transportation Research - Dansk tidskrift for transportforskning

    SN - 1603-9696

    ER -