A perturbed utility route choice model

Mogens Fosgerau*, Mads Paulsen, Thomas Kjær Rasmussen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

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We propose a route choice model in which traveler behavior is represented as a utility maximizing assignment of flow across an entire network under a flow conservation constraint. Substitution between routes depends on how much they overlap. The model is estimated considering the full set of route alternatives, and no choice set generation is required. Nevertheless, estimation requires only linear regression and is very fast. Predictions from the model can be computed using convex optimization, and computation is straightforward even for large networks. We estimate and validate the model using a large dataset comprising 1,337,096 GPS traces of trips in the Greater Copenhagen road network.
Original languageEnglish
Article number103514
JournalTransportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
Number of pages19
Publication statusPublished - 2022


  • Route choice
  • Perturbed utility
  • Discrete choice
  • Networks


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