A new ensemble model for short term wind power prediction

Henrik Madsen, Razvan-Daniel Albu, Ioan Felea, Florin Popentiu-Vladicescu

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingArticle in proceedingsResearchpeer-review

Abstract

As the objective of this study, a non-linear ensemble system is used to develop a new model for predicting wind speed in short-term time scale. Short-term wind power prediction becomes an extremely important field of research for the energy sector. Regardless of the recent advancements in the re-search of prediction models, it was observed that different models have different capabilities and also no single model is suitable under all situations. The idea behind EPS (ensemble prediction systems) is to take advantage of the unique features of each subsystem to detain diverse patterns that exist in the dataset. The conferred results show that the prediction errors can be decreased, while the computation time is reduced.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference and the Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference 2012 (PSAM11 ESREL 2012)
Volume2
PublisherCurran Associates
Publication date2012
Pages1505-1514
ISBN (Print)978-1-62276-436-5
Publication statusPublished - 2012
Event11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference and The Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference 2012 - Scandic Marina Congress Center, Helsinki, Finland
Duration: 25 Jun 201229 Jun 2012

Conference

Conference11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference and The Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference 2012
LocationScandic Marina Congress Center
Country/TerritoryFinland
CityHelsinki
Period25/06/201229/06/2012

Keywords

  • Forecasting
  • Neural networks
  • Safety engineering
  • Wind power

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'A new ensemble model for short term wind power prediction'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this