A disaggregate freight transport chain choice model for Europe

Anders Fjendbo Jensen*, Mikkel Thorhauge, Gerard de Jong, Jeppe Rich, Thijs Dekker, Daniel Johnson, Manuel Ojeda Cabral, John Bates, Otto Anker Nielsen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review


This paper presents the estimation of a discrete freight transport chain choice model for Europe, which was developed for the European Union as part of the Transtools 3 project. The model describes nine different multi- and single mode chain alternatives of which three can be either container or non-containerised, and it segments freight into dry bulk, liquid bulk, containers and general cargo. The model was estimated on the basis of disaggregate data at the shipment level (Swedish CFS and French ECHO data). Several transport costs specifications and nesting structures were tested and elasticities compared with reference literature. It was found that freight models are characterised by heterogeneity, non-linearity in transport costs and hence Value of Times and non-constant rates of substitution. Not taking these elements into account will have consequences for the evaluation of transport policies using the freight transport model.
Original languageEnglish
JournalTransportation Research. Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review
Pages (from-to)43-62
Number of pages20
Publication statusPublished - 2019


  • Freight transport
  • Mode choice
  • Modal split
  • Transport chains
  • Europe

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