A bigger bang for the buck: The impact of risk reduction on renewable energy support payments in Europe

Mak Đukan*, Lena Kitzing

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

522 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Decarbonizing Europe by 2050 requires significant capital investments in renewable energy (RE). The weighted average costs of capital (WACC) greatly impact RE production costs and influence the government support payments needed for the financial viability of RE projects. Reducing the risks for RE investors can decrease WACC and ensure that the EU meets its climate targets at the least cost. We investigate the potential for lowering support payments to RE projects by de-risking financing conditions through measures including revenue stabilization and low-risk auction designs for solar PV and onshore wind across 21 countries in Europe. We find that de-risking debt is almost twice as effective as de-risking equity. On average, support payments can be reduced by 3.3 EUR/MWh and 1.9 EUR/MWh, respectively, and in some cases, fall to zero. The effects differ across countries, higher-risk countries like Greece would experience more significant benefits from de-risking than lower-risk countries like Denmark and Germany, where support costs depend more on investment variables such as capacity factors. Overall, we show that WACC depends largely on country risk. Nonetheless, de-risking policies like revenue stabilization can improve the investment climate for RE, reduce the need for government support, and contribute to achieving decarbonization targets.
Original languageEnglish
Article number113395
JournalEnergy Policy
Volume173
Number of pages21
ISSN0301-4215
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

Keywords

  • Cost of capital
  • Project financing
  • Renewable energy auctions
  • Remuneration schemes
  • Onshore wind
  • Solar PV

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'A bigger bang for the buck: The impact of risk reduction on renewable energy support payments in Europe'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this