Arctic impact on weather and climate (Blue-Action) (39390)

Blue-Action will provide fundamental and empirically-grounded, executable science that quantifies and explains the role of a changing Arctic in increasing predictive capability of weather and climate of the Northern Hemisphere. To achieve this Blue-Action will take a transdisciplinary approach, bridging scientific understanding within Arctic climate, weather and risk management research, with key stakeholder knowledge of the impacts of climatic weather extremes and hazardous events; leading to the co-design of better services. This bridge will build on innovative statistical and dynamical approaches to predict weather and climate extremes.

In dialogue with users, Blue-Arctic will take stock in existing knowledge about cross-sectoral impacts and vulnerabilities with respect to the occurrence of these events when associated to weather and climate predictions. Modeling and prediction capabilities will be enhanced by targeting firstly, lower latitude oceanic and atmospheric drivers of regional Arctic changes and secondly, Arctic impacts on Northern Hemisphere climate and weather extremes.

Coordinated multi-model experiments will be key to test new higher resolution model configurations, innovative methods to reduce forecast error, and advanced methods to improve uptake of new Earth observations assets are planned.Blue-Action thereby demonstrates how such an uptake may assist in creating better optimized observation system for various modelling applications.

The improved robust and reliable forecasting can help meteorological and climate services to better deliver tailored predictions and advice, including sub-seasonal to seasonal time scales, will take Arctic climate prediction beyond seasons and to teleconnections over the Northern Hemisphere. Blue-Action will through its concerted efforts therefore contribute to the improvement of climate models to represent Arctic warming realistically and address its impact on regional and global atmospheric and oceanic circulation.

Partners
DTU Aqua, National Institute of Aquatic Resources
Danish Meteorological Institute, Denmark (coordinator)
Lapin Yliopisto, Finland
Municipality of Almada, Portugal
Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici, Italy
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, France
Educational Foundation Yonsei University, Republic of Korea
Dnv Gl As, Norway
Danmarks Pelagiske Producentorganisation, Denmark
Foresight Intelligence Johannes Gabriel und Martin Fröhlich Gbr, Germany
Helmholtz Zentrum für Ozeanforschung Kiel, Germany
Havstovan, Faroe Islands
Institute of Atmospheric Physics of Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
Organization of Russian Academy of Sciences A.M., Russian Federation
Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics Ras, Russian Federation
Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies Ev, Germany
Fundacio Institut Catala de Ciencies del Clima, Spain
Federal State Budgetary Institution - Institute of World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Russian Federation
Konsortium Deutsche Meeresforschung E.V., Germany
Meopar Incorporated, Canada
Mercator Ocean, France
Max Planck Gesellschaft zur Foerderung der Wissenschaften E.V., Germany
Hafrannsoknastofnunin, Iceland
Marine Scotland, United Kingdom
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research Nonprofit Corporation, United States
Stiftelsen Nansen Senter for Miljo og Fjernmaling, Norway
Stichting Nioz, Koninklijk Nederlands Instituut voor Onderzoek der Zee, Netherlands
Stichting Netherlands Escience Center, Netherlands
Natural Environment Research Council, United Kingdom
Pelagic Freezer Trawler Association, Netherlands
Rukakeskus Oy, Finland
The Scottish Association for Marine Science Lbg, United Kingdom
The Scripps Research Institute, United States
Sams Research Services Ltd, United Kingdom
Universitaet Hamburg, Germany
Universitetet i Bergen, Norway
Uni Research As, Norway
University of Southampton, United Kingdom
University of Washington, United States
The University of Reading United Kingdom
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, United States
WOC - World Ocean Limited, United Kingdom

Funding
The project is funded by the EU Horizon 2020 Programme Blue Growth BG10-2016 call.

Research area: Marine Populations and Ecosystem Dynamics