Vehicle type choice and differentiated registration taxes

Publication: ResearchPaper – Annual report year: 2011

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Differentiated vehicle taxes are considered as a useful tool for promoting environmental friendly vehicles. Such a tax was introduced in Denmark in 2007. During 2007, the pattern in new vehicle purchases in Denmark changed toward more diesel vehicles and more fuel-efficient vehicles. We analyse to what extent the 2007 vehicle tax reform may explain these changes in purchasing behaviour using a discrete choice model. The model allows us to simulate the effect of price changes that resemble those induced by the tax reform. The analysis shows that the reform only changes purchase patterns slightly. The changes in fuel prices during the year induce a similar minor effect in our simulation. We conclude that while the tax reform appeared in the same year as a large increase in fuel efficiency, it only explains a small part of the shift in fuel efficiency that happened.
Original languageEnglish
Publication date2011
StatePublished - 2011


ConferenceETC 2011
CountryUnited Kingdom
SponsorAssocietion for European Transport


  • Tax reform, Discrete choice, Vehicle type choice, Fuel price changes
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ID: 7728526