NSON-DK energy system scenario

Research output: Book/ReportReport – Annual report year: 2017Researchpeer-review

Standard

NSON-DK energy system scenario. / Koivisto, Matti Juhani; Traber, Thure.

DTU Wind Energy, 2017. 20 p.

Research output: Book/ReportReport – Annual report year: 2017Researchpeer-review

Harvard

Koivisto, MJ & Traber, T 2017, NSON-DK energy system scenario. DTU Wind Energy E, no. 0146, DTU Wind Energy.

APA

Koivisto, M. J., & Traber, T. (2017). NSON-DK energy system scenario. DTU Wind Energy. DTU Wind Energy E, No. 0146

CBE

Koivisto MJ, Traber T 2017. NSON-DK energy system scenario. DTU Wind Energy. 20 p. (DTU Wind Energy E; No. 0146).

MLA

Koivisto, Matti Juhani and Thure Traber NSON-DK energy system scenario DTU Wind Energy. 2017. (DTU Wind Energy E; Journal number 0146).

Vancouver

Koivisto MJ, Traber T. NSON-DK energy system scenario. DTU Wind Energy, 2017. 20 p. (DTU Wind Energy E; No. 0146).

Author

Koivisto, Matti Juhani ; Traber, Thure. / NSON-DK energy system scenario. DTU Wind Energy, 2017. 20 p. (DTU Wind Energy E; No. 0146).

Bibtex

@book{466e77df0a60401987f5957fec3e9ae0,
title = "NSON-DK energy system scenario",
abstract = "This report introduces the set of basic data to define scenarios with realistic yet ambitious targets for offshore wind power development in the North Sea to be used in the NSON-DK project. The assumptions are in line with those of IEA for a two degree temperature increase scenario and correspond with a strong recovering of coal and crude oil prices, and a pronounced increase of CO2 prices from 2020. For the countries around the North Sea that are considered, the evolution of electricity demand is projected to be strongly impacted by aggressive energy efficiency policies that lead in total to stagnating consumption despite substantial electric vehicle up-take. To the contrary, Denmark is assumed to substantially increase its consumption, i.e. by 14{\%} from 2020 to 2050. However, the Danish electricity system is looking forward to a decommissioning of the remaining coal fired power plants towards the mid of the century and replacing these capacities essentially with natural gas power plants. In Belgium, and Germany nuclear power plants are expected to be phased-out by 2035, with Sweden following this policy by 2050. Moreover, the economic outlook for nuclear in the other countries is also weak mainly due to pronounced competition from fluctuating renewable energies. In regard to wind energy, for Denmark it is suggested that onshore installations are not increased significantly after 2030. By contrast, a major increase in offshore wind energy is assumed. Corresponding with these offshore and onshore wind power developments, the proposed NSON-DK scenario projects at least 8 TWh higher expected annual wind generation for Denmark. Given the pronounced increases of offshore wind farms, the installations are expected to form significant clusters from 2030 onwards with particularly strong developments in the British Hornsea and on the Dogger Bank.",
author = "Koivisto, {Matti Juhani} and Thure Traber",
note = "An updated NSON-DK energy system scenario report can be found here: http://orbit.dtu.dk/en/publications/nsondk-energy-system-scenarios--edition-2(a12307fd-b045-4d90-a745-38bca211b861).html",
year = "2017",
language = "English",
publisher = "DTU Wind Energy",
address = "Denmark",

}

RIS

TY - RPRT

T1 - NSON-DK energy system scenario

AU - Koivisto, Matti Juhani

AU - Traber, Thure

N1 - An updated NSON-DK energy system scenario report can be found here: http://orbit.dtu.dk/en/publications/nsondk-energy-system-scenarios--edition-2(a12307fd-b045-4d90-a745-38bca211b861).html

PY - 2017

Y1 - 2017

N2 - This report introduces the set of basic data to define scenarios with realistic yet ambitious targets for offshore wind power development in the North Sea to be used in the NSON-DK project. The assumptions are in line with those of IEA for a two degree temperature increase scenario and correspond with a strong recovering of coal and crude oil prices, and a pronounced increase of CO2 prices from 2020. For the countries around the North Sea that are considered, the evolution of electricity demand is projected to be strongly impacted by aggressive energy efficiency policies that lead in total to stagnating consumption despite substantial electric vehicle up-take. To the contrary, Denmark is assumed to substantially increase its consumption, i.e. by 14% from 2020 to 2050. However, the Danish electricity system is looking forward to a decommissioning of the remaining coal fired power plants towards the mid of the century and replacing these capacities essentially with natural gas power plants. In Belgium, and Germany nuclear power plants are expected to be phased-out by 2035, with Sweden following this policy by 2050. Moreover, the economic outlook for nuclear in the other countries is also weak mainly due to pronounced competition from fluctuating renewable energies. In regard to wind energy, for Denmark it is suggested that onshore installations are not increased significantly after 2030. By contrast, a major increase in offshore wind energy is assumed. Corresponding with these offshore and onshore wind power developments, the proposed NSON-DK scenario projects at least 8 TWh higher expected annual wind generation for Denmark. Given the pronounced increases of offshore wind farms, the installations are expected to form significant clusters from 2030 onwards with particularly strong developments in the British Hornsea and on the Dogger Bank.

AB - This report introduces the set of basic data to define scenarios with realistic yet ambitious targets for offshore wind power development in the North Sea to be used in the NSON-DK project. The assumptions are in line with those of IEA for a two degree temperature increase scenario and correspond with a strong recovering of coal and crude oil prices, and a pronounced increase of CO2 prices from 2020. For the countries around the North Sea that are considered, the evolution of electricity demand is projected to be strongly impacted by aggressive energy efficiency policies that lead in total to stagnating consumption despite substantial electric vehicle up-take. To the contrary, Denmark is assumed to substantially increase its consumption, i.e. by 14% from 2020 to 2050. However, the Danish electricity system is looking forward to a decommissioning of the remaining coal fired power plants towards the mid of the century and replacing these capacities essentially with natural gas power plants. In Belgium, and Germany nuclear power plants are expected to be phased-out by 2035, with Sweden following this policy by 2050. Moreover, the economic outlook for nuclear in the other countries is also weak mainly due to pronounced competition from fluctuating renewable energies. In regard to wind energy, for Denmark it is suggested that onshore installations are not increased significantly after 2030. By contrast, a major increase in offshore wind energy is assumed. Corresponding with these offshore and onshore wind power developments, the proposed NSON-DK scenario projects at least 8 TWh higher expected annual wind generation for Denmark. Given the pronounced increases of offshore wind farms, the installations are expected to form significant clusters from 2030 onwards with particularly strong developments in the British Hornsea and on the Dogger Bank.

UR - http://orbit.dtu.dk/en/publications/nsondk-energy-system-scenarios--edition-2(a12307fd-b045-4d90-a745-38bca211b861).html

M3 - Report

BT - NSON-DK energy system scenario

PB - DTU Wind Energy

ER -