Long-term retrospective analysis of mackerel spawning in the North Sea : A new time series and modeling approach to CPR data

Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article – Annual report year: 2012

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Long-term retrospective analysis of mackerel spawning in the North Sea : A new time series and modeling approach to CPR data. / Jansen, Teunis; Kristensen, Kasper; Payne, Mark; Edwards, Martin; Schrum, Corinna; Pitois, Sophie.

In: PLoS ONE, Vol. 7, No. 6, 2012, p. Art. no. e38758.

Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article – Annual report year: 2012

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Jansen, Teunis; Kristensen, Kasper; Payne, Mark; Edwards, Martin; Schrum, Corinna; Pitois, Sophie / Long-term retrospective analysis of mackerel spawning in the North Sea : A new time series and modeling approach to CPR data.

In: PLoS ONE, Vol. 7, No. 6, 2012, p. Art. no. e38758.

Publication: Research - peer-reviewJournal article – Annual report year: 2012

Bibtex

@article{1ead10ae11844581aa4ecae6c373a0a8,
title = "Long-term retrospective analysis of mackerel spawning in the North Sea",
publisher = "Public Library of Science",
author = "Teunis Jansen and Kasper Kristensen and Mark Payne and Martin Edwards and Corinna Schrum and Sophie Pitois",
year = "2012",
doi = "10.1371/journal.pone.0038758",
volume = "7",
number = "6",
pages = "Art. no. e38758",
journal = "PLoS ONE",
issn = "1932-6203",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Long-term retrospective analysis of mackerel spawning in the North Sea

T2 - A new time series and modeling approach to CPR data

A1 - Jansen,Teunis

A1 - Kristensen,Kasper

A1 - Payne,Mark

A1 - Edwards,Martin

A1 - Schrum,Corinna

A1 - Pitois,Sophie

AU - Jansen,Teunis

AU - Kristensen,Kasper

AU - Payne,Mark

AU - Edwards,Martin

AU - Schrum,Corinna

AU - Pitois,Sophie

PB - Public Library of Science

PY - 2012

Y1 - 2012

N2 - We present a unique view of mackerel (Scomber scombrus) in the North Sea based on a new time series of larvae caught by the Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR) survey from 1948-2005, covering the period both before and after the collapse of the North Sea stock. Hydrographic backtrack modelling suggested that the effect of advection is very limited between spawning and larvae capture in the CPR survey. Using a statistical technique not previously applied to CPR data, we then generated a larval index that accounts for both catchability as well as spatial and temporal autocorrelation. The resulting time series documents the significant decrease of spawning from before 1970 to recent depleted levels.Spatial distributions of the larvae, and thus the spawning area, showed a shift from early to recent decades, suggesting that the central North Sea is no longer as important as the areas further west and south. These results provide a consistent and unique perspective on the dynamics of mackerel in this region and can potentially resolve many of the unresolved questions about this stock

AB - We present a unique view of mackerel (Scomber scombrus) in the North Sea based on a new time series of larvae caught by the Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR) survey from 1948-2005, covering the period both before and after the collapse of the North Sea stock. Hydrographic backtrack modelling suggested that the effect of advection is very limited between spawning and larvae capture in the CPR survey. Using a statistical technique not previously applied to CPR data, we then generated a larval index that accounts for both catchability as well as spatial and temporal autocorrelation. The resulting time series documents the significant decrease of spawning from before 1970 to recent depleted levels.Spatial distributions of the larvae, and thus the spawning area, showed a shift from early to recent decades, suggesting that the central North Sea is no longer as important as the areas further west and south. These results provide a consistent and unique perspective on the dynamics of mackerel in this region and can potentially resolve many of the unresolved questions about this stock

UR - http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0038758#aff1

U2 - 10.1371/journal.pone.0038758

DO - 10.1371/journal.pone.0038758

JO - PLoS ONE

JF - PLoS ONE

SN - 1932-6203

IS - 6

VL - 7

SP - Art. no. e38758

ER -