Evaluation of climate change impacts on energy demand

Publication: Research - peer-reviewConference article – Annual report year: 2012

  • Author: Taseska, Verica

    Research Center for Energy, Informatics and Materials, Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts (ICEIM-MANU), Macedonia, The Former Yugoslav Republic of

  • Author: Markovska, Natasa

    Research Center for Energy, Informatics and Materials, Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts (ICEIM-MANU), Macedonia, The Former Yugoslav Republic of

  • Author: Callaway, John M.

    UNEP Risø Centre, Department of Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, Marmorvej 51, 2100, København Ø, Denmark

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Although previous climate change research has documented the effects of linking mitigation and adaptation in the energy sector, there is still a lack of integrated assessment, particularly at national level.
This paper may contribute to fill this gap, identifying the interactions between climate change and the energy demand in Macedonia. The analyses are conducted using the MARKAL (MARKet ALlocation)-Macedonia model, with a focus on energy demand in commercial and residential sectors (mainly for heating and cooling). Three different cases are developed: 1) Base Case, which gives the optimal electricity production mix, taking into account country’s development plans (without climate change); 2) Climate Change Damage Case, which introduces the climate changes by adjusting the heating and cooling degree days inputs, consistent with the existing national climate scenarios; and 3) Climate Change Adaptation Case, in which the optimal electricity generation mix is determined by allowing for endogenous capacity adjustments in the model. This modeling exercise will identify the changes in the energy demand and in electricity generation mix in the Adaptation Case, as well as climate change damages and benefits of the adaptation. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved
Original languageEnglish
JournalEnergy
Publication date2012
Volume48
Pages88-95
ISSN0360-5442
DOIs
StatePublished

Conference

Conference6th Dubrovnik Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems
CountryCroatia
CityDubrovnik
Period25/09/1129/09/11
CitationsWeb of Science® Times Cited: 4

Keywords

  • Climate change adaptation, Energy demand, MARKAL model
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