Coping with rainfall variability in northern Tanzania

Publication: Research - peer-reviewBook chapter – Annual report year: 2012

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This chapter explores a potential relationship between rainfall data and household self-reported harvest shocks and local (spatial) variability of harvest shocks and coping strategies based on a survey of 2700 rural households in the Kagera region of northern Tanzania. In addition, correlations of rainfall amounts across the districts in the region are estimated in order to assess the variations in rainfall patterns across the districts. The results show that rainfall patterns in the region are very location-specific, there are few correlations between rainfall events, and that the distribution of household reported harvest shocks differs significantly between districts and correspond to the observed variability in local climate patterns. Coping strategies are focused on spreading risks and include reduced consumption, casual employment, new crops, external support and the selling of assets. There are no large differences in applied coping strategies across the region, but district-level data demonstrate how local strategies differ between localities within the districts. The results emphasize that in order to target rural policies and make them efficient, it is important to take into account the local conditions that rural households face when experiencing climate-related shocks. Finally, shocks reported by households appear to correspond well with observed variability in rainfall patterns.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationRainfall: Behavior, Forecasting and Distribution
EditorsOlga E. Martín, Tricia M. Roberts
Place of PublicationNew York
PublisherNova Science Publishers, Incorporated
Publication date2012
ISBN (electronic)978-1-62081-591-5
StatePublished - 2012
SeriesEnvironmental Science, Engineering and Technology


  • Climate variability, Self-reported shocks, Coping strategies, Local rainfall distribution, Tanzania
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ID: 20802874